Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000927 1.065410e-03 0.001206 0.001359 0.001519 0.001683 0.001861
2025-06-29 0.000720 9.173681e-04 0.001125 0.001359 0.001610 0.001873 0.002164
2025-07-06 0.000622 8.692147e-04 0.001139 0.001448 0.001790 0.002151 0.002558
2025-07-13 0.000470 7.422455e-04 0.001052 0.001420 0.001833 0.002278 0.002787
2025-07-20 0.000330 6.115453e-04 0.000949 0.001361 0.001836 0.002356 0.002956
2025-07-27 0.000263 5.605748e-04 0.000932 0.001397 0.001942 0.002543 0.003244
2025-08-03 0.000187 4.845052e-04 0.000877 0.001383 0.001985 0.002658 0.003449
2025-08-10 0.000103 3.792977e-04 0.000775 0.001304 0.001949 0.002678 0.003545
2025-08-17 0.000055 3.126158e-04 0.000716 0.001273 0.001963 0.002753 0.003699
2025-08-24 0.000014 2.298077e-04 0.000623 0.001192 0.001914 0.002752 0.003763
2025-08-31 0.000001 1.878117e-04 0.000584 0.001177 0.001942 0.002837 0.003924
2025-09-07 NaN 1.654002e-04 0.000572 0.001196 0.002010 0.002969 0.004138
2025-09-14 NaN 1.121581e-04 0.000511 0.001163 0.002033 0.003071 0.004347
2025-09-21 NaN 7.995896e-05 0.000480 0.001169 0.002106 0.003236 0.004633
2025-09-28 NaN 7.612926e-05 0.000505 0.001257 0.002287 0.003532 0.005073
2025-10-05 NaN 4.321128e-05 0.000455 0.001233 0.002321 0.003650 0.005307
2025-10-12 NaN 1.465318e-05 0.000391 0.001180 0.002314 0.003718 0.005479
2025-10-19 NaN 7.411048e-06 0.000384 0.001215 0.002424 0.003926 0.005818
2025-10-26 NaN 2.675631e-07 0.000350 0.001202 0.002467 0.004052 0.006058
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000284 0.001129 0.002424 0.004070 0.006166
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000247 0.001099 0.002439 0.004157 0.006357
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000190 0.001024 0.002386 0.004156 0.006440
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000166 0.001010 0.002418 0.004262 0.006650